State |
Margin |
D Probability (%) |
R Probability (%) |
Rating |
AK |
R+9.3 |
3.2% |
96.8% |
Safe Republican |
AL |
R+26.9 |
0.0% |
100.0% |
Safe Republican |
AR |
R+26.2 |
0.0% |
100.0% |
Safe Republican |
AZ |
R+1.3 |
39.7% |
60.3% |
Lean Republican |
CA |
D+30.5 |
100.0% |
0.0% |
Safe Democratic |
CO |
D+15.0 |
99.9% |
0.1% |
Safe Democratic |
CT |
D+20.6 |
100.0% |
0.0% |
Safe Democratic |
DC |
D+89.4 |
100.0% |
0.0% |
Safe Democratic |
DE |
D+20.0 |
100.0% |
0.0% |
Safe Democratic |
FL |
R+6.4 |
10.0% |
90.0% |
Likely Republican |
GA |
R+0.9 |
43.0% |
57.0% |
Tossup |
HI |
D+27.0 |
100.0% |
0.0% |
Safe Democratic |
IA |
R+7.1 |
7.9% |
92.1% |
Likely Republican |
ID |
R+31.5 |
0.0% |
100.0% |
Safe Republican |
IL |
D+16.3 |
99.9% |
0.1% |
Safe Democratic |
IN |
R+16.5 |
0.0% |
100.0% |
Safe Republican |
KS |
R+12.5 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
Safe Republican |
KY |
R+26.3 |
0.0% |
100.0% |
Safe Republican |
LA |
R+20.7 |
0.0% |
100.0% |
Safe Republican |
MA |
D+32.1 |
100.0% |
0.0% |
Safe Democratic |
MD |
D+33.5 |
100.0% |
0.0% |
Safe Democratic |
ME |
D+10.5 |
98.2% |
1.8% |
Safe Democratic |
ME-01 |
D+24.8 |
100.0% |
0.0% |
Safe Democratic |
ME-02 |
R+5.3 |
14.5% |
85.5% |
Likely Republican |
MI |
D+1.4 |
60.9% |
39.1% |
Lean Democratic |
MN |
D+7.3 |
92.9% |
7.1% |
Likely Democratic |
MO |
R+15.6 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Safe Republican |
MS |
R+18.8 |
0.0% |
100.0% |
Safe Republican |
MT |
R+17.3 |
0.0% |
100.0% |
Safe Republican |
NC |
R+1.1 |
41.5% |
58.5% |
Tossup |
ND |
R+31.5 |
0.0% |
100.0% |
Safe Republican |
NE |
R+18.2 |
0.0% |
100.0% |
Safe Republican |
NE-01 |
R+9.4 |
3.1% |
96.9% |
Safe Republican |
NE-02 |
D+8.7 |
95.9% |
4.1% |
Safe Democratic |
NE-03 |
R+51.5 |
0.0% |
100.0% |
Safe Republican |
NH |
D+6.4 |
89.9% |
10.1% |
Likely Democratic |
NJ |
D+16.1 |
99.9% |
0.1% |
Safe Democratic |
NM |
D+8.3 |
95.2% |
4.8% |
Safe Democratic |
NV |
R+1.0 |
42.3% |
57.7% |
Tossup |
NY |
D+19.9 |
100.0% |
0.0% |
Safe Democratic |
OH |
R+9.6 |
2.7% |
97.3% |
Safe Republican |
OK |
R+34.1 |
0.0% |
100.0% |
Safe Republican |
OR |
D+14.6 |
99.8% |
0.2% |
Safe Democratic |
PA |
D+0.1 |
50.7% |
49.3% |
Tossup |
RI |
D+18.8 |
100.0% |
0.0% |
Safe Democratic |
SC |
R+12.2 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
Safe Republican |
SD |
R+27.1 |
0.0% |
100.0% |
Safe Republican |
TN |
R+22.8 |
0.0% |
100.0% |
Safe Republican |
TX |
R+6.4 |
10.0% |
90.0% |
Likely Republican |
UT |
R+19.8 |
0.0% |
100.0% |
Safe Republican |
VA |
D+6.5 |
90.3% |
9.7% |
Likely Democratic |
VT |
D+36.5 |
100.0% |
0.0% |
Safe Democratic |
WA |
D+18.7 |
100.0% |
0.0% |
Safe Democratic |
WI |
D+0.9 |
57.5% |
42.5% |
Tossup |
WV |
R+37.2 |
0.0% |
100.0% |
Safe Republican |
WY |
R+43.1 |
0.0% |
100.0% |
Safe Republican |