State Margin D Probability (%) R Probability (%) Rating
AK R+9.3 3.2% 96.8% Safe Republican
AL R+26.9 0.0% 100.0% Safe Republican
AR R+26.2 0.0% 100.0% Safe Republican
AZ R+1.3 39.7% 60.3% Lean Republican
CA D+30.5 100.0% 0.0% Safe Democratic
CO D+15.0 99.9% 0.1% Safe Democratic
CT D+20.6 100.0% 0.0% Safe Democratic
DC D+89.4 100.0% 0.0% Safe Democratic
DE D+20.0 100.0% 0.0% Safe Democratic
FL R+6.4 10.0% 90.0% Likely Republican
GA R+0.9 43.0% 57.0% Tossup
HI D+27.0 100.0% 0.0% Safe Democratic
IA R+7.1 7.9% 92.1% Likely Republican
ID R+31.5 0.0% 100.0% Safe Republican
IL D+16.3 99.9% 0.1% Safe Democratic
IN R+16.5 0.0% 100.0% Safe Republican
KS R+12.5 0.6% 99.4% Safe Republican
KY R+26.3 0.0% 100.0% Safe Republican
LA R+20.7 0.0% 100.0% Safe Republican
MA D+32.1 100.0% 0.0% Safe Democratic
MD D+33.5 100.0% 0.0% Safe Democratic
ME D+10.5 98.2% 1.8% Safe Democratic
ME-01 D+24.8 100.0% 0.0% Safe Democratic
ME-02 R+5.3 14.5% 85.5% Likely Republican
MI D+1.4 60.9% 39.1% Lean Democratic
MN D+7.3 92.9% 7.1% Likely Democratic
MO R+15.6 0.1% 99.9% Safe Republican
MS R+18.8 0.0% 100.0% Safe Republican
MT R+17.3 0.0% 100.0% Safe Republican
NC R+1.1 41.5% 58.5% Tossup
ND R+31.5 0.0% 100.0% Safe Republican
NE R+18.2 0.0% 100.0% Safe Republican
NE-01 R+9.4 3.1% 96.9% Safe Republican
NE-02 D+8.7 95.9% 4.1% Safe Democratic
NE-03 R+51.5 0.0% 100.0% Safe Republican
NH D+6.4 89.9% 10.1% Likely Democratic
NJ D+16.1 99.9% 0.1% Safe Democratic
NM D+8.3 95.2% 4.8% Safe Democratic
NV R+1.0 42.3% 57.7% Tossup
NY D+19.9 100.0% 0.0% Safe Democratic
OH R+9.6 2.7% 97.3% Safe Republican
OK R+34.1 0.0% 100.0% Safe Republican
OR D+14.6 99.8% 0.2% Safe Democratic
PA D+0.1 50.7% 49.3% Tossup
RI D+18.8 100.0% 0.0% Safe Democratic
SC R+12.2 0.7% 99.3% Safe Republican
SD R+27.1 0.0% 100.0% Safe Republican
TN R+22.8 0.0% 100.0% Safe Republican
TX R+6.4 10.0% 90.0% Likely Republican
UT R+19.8 0.0% 100.0% Safe Republican
VA D+6.5 90.3% 9.7% Likely Democratic
VT D+36.5 100.0% 0.0% Safe Democratic
WA D+18.7 100.0% 0.0% Safe Democratic
WI D+0.9 57.5% 42.5% Tossup
WV R+37.2 0.0% 100.0% Safe Republican
WY R+43.1 0.0% 100.0% Safe Republican