State	Margin	D Probability (%)	R Probability (%)	Rating	D Candidate	R Candidate
AZ	D+2.6	69.8%	30.2%	Lean Democratic	Ruben Gallego	Kari Lake
CA	D+28.3	100.0%	0.0%	Safe Democratic	Adam Schiff	Steve Garvey
CT	D+27.1	100.0%	0.0%	Safe Democratic	Chris Murphy	Gerard Smith
DE	D+24.5	100.0%	0.0%	Safe Democratic	Lisa Blunt Rochester	Eric Hansen
FL	R+7.5	6.7%	93.3%	Likely Republican	Debbie Mucarsel-Powell	Rick Scott
HI	D+34.7	100.0%	0.0%	Safe Democratic	Mazie Hirono	Adriel Lamb
IN	R+17.3	0.0%	100.0%	Safe Republican	Keith Potts	Jim Banks
MA	D+37.8	100.0%	0.0%	Safe Democratic	Elizabeth Warren	Bob Antonellis
MD	D+19.9	100.0%	0.0%	Safe Democratic	Angela Alsobrooks	Larry Hogan
ME	D+41.0	100.0%	0.0%	Safe Democratic	Angus King	Demi Kouzounas
MI	D+3.3	74.4%	25.6%	Likely Democratic	Elissa Slotkin	Mike Rogers
MN	D+18.9	100.0%	0.0%	Safe Democratic	Amy Klobuchar	Royce White
MO	R+14.4	0.2%	99.8%	Safe Republican	Lucas Kunce	Josh Hawley
MS	R+21.1	0.0%	100.0%	Safe Republican	Ty Pinkins	Roger Wicker
MT	R+5.5	13.4%	86.6%	Likely Republican	Jon Tester	Tim Sheehy
ND	R+30.5	0.0%	100.0%	Safe Republican	Katrina Christiansen	Kevin Cramer
NE	R+9.1	3.5%	96.5%	Safe Republican	Dan Osborn	Deb Fischer
NE-Special	R+16.0	0.1%	99.9%	Safe Republican	Preston Love	Pete Ricketts
NJ	D+18.8	100.0%	0.0%	Safe Democratic	Andy Kim	Curtis Bashaw
NM	D+20.4	100.0%	0.0%	Safe Democratic	Martin Heinrich	Ben Luna
NV	D+4.7	82.7%	17.3%	Likely Democratic	Jacky Rosen	Sam Brown
NY	D+27.3	100.0%	0.0%	Safe Democratic	Kirsten Gillibrand	Mike Sapraicone
OH	R+0.3	47.6%	52.4%	Tossup	Sherrod Brown	Bernie Moreno
PA	D+2.8	71.3%	28.7%	Likely Democratic	Bob Casey	Dave McCormick
RI	D+21.9	100.0%	0.0%	Safe Democratic	Sheldon Whitehouse	Patricia Morgan
TN	R+22.4	0.0%	100.0%	Safe Republican	Gloria Johnson	Marsha Blackburn
TX	R+2.7	29.3%	70.7%	Likely Republican	Collin Allred	Ted Cruz
UT	R+24.3	0.0%	100.0%	Safe Republican	Caroline Gleich	John Curtis
VA	D+12.2	99.3%	0.7%	Safe Democratic	Tim Kaine	Hung Cao
VT	D+44.2	100.0%	0.0%	Safe Democratic	Bernie Sanders	Gerald Malloy
WA	D+19.2	100.0%	0.0%	Safe Democratic	Maria Cantwell	Raul Garcia
WI	D+2.4	68.7%	31.3%	Lean Democratic	Tammy Baldwin	Eric Hovde
WV	R+37.5	0.0%	100.0%	Safe Republican	Glenn Elliott	Jim Justice
WY	R+50.7	0.0%	100.0%	Safe Republican	Scott Morrow	John Barrasso