U.S. House Model Updated on November 4, 2024 at 03:19 PM Eastern Time. After two years of a divided House, all House seats are up for election.
This model is updated daily, and uses state-level and national-level polls combined with fundamentals to create an accurate picture.
Overview The House is rated as a Tossup. Probability
The Democrats have a 54.9% probability of winning the House,
while the Republicans have a 45.1% probability of winning the House.
54.9%
45.1%
Majority The House is projected to have a majority of D+13.2
with 224.1 seats going for the Democrats and
210.9 seats going for the Republicans.Popular Vote The congressional polling projects a D+1.2 national environment... the presidential polling projects a D+0.8 national environment... the economic fundamentals projects a D+5.8 national environment... ...and the Congressional popular vote is projected to vote D+1.7
with 50.8% of voters voting for the Democrats and
49.2% of voters voting for the Republicans.Map
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