U.S. Senate Model Updated on November 4, 2024 at 03:19 PM Eastern Time. After two years of a divided Senate, ⅓ of Senate seats are up for election.
This model is updated daily, and uses state-level and national-level polls combined with fundamentals to create an accurate picture.
Overview The Senate is rated as Lean Republican. Probability
The Democrats have a 35.8% probability of winning the Senate,
while the Republicans have a 56.9% probability of winning the Senate.
35.8%
56.9%
Majority The Senate is projected to have a majority of R+4.6
with 47.7 seats going for the Democrats and
52.3 seats going for the Republicans.Map
Here's a map of the race!
